Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 11/11, 06:00
Prediction: James Connel vs Zhenxiong Dong
Team pages: James Connel · Zhenxiong Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
James Connel
Zhenxiong Dong
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
James Connel
3-7 (W-L)
Zhenxiong Dong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Connel 1465 · Zhenxiong Dong 1426
| James Connel | Zhenxiong Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| James Connel | Zhenxiong Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.9 | 9.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 30.1% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Connel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Hyu Kawanishi M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Marcus Walters M15 Baku |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Ivan Gretskiy M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Baku |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Louis Larue M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Damien Salvestre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Zhenxiong Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Zhe Jiang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Hao-Yu Lin M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/10 | Haolong He M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 12/10 | Maksim Shin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Xin Zhou M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Matthew Shearer M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Zhao Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Connel vs Zhenxiong Dong?
Our model gives 67% to James Connel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.