Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 11/11, 04:30
Prediction: Rigele Te vs Alexey Aleshchev
Team pages: Rigele Te · Alexey Aleshchev
Prediction summary
Winner
Rigele Te
Alexey Aleshchev
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rigele Te
6-4 (W-L)
Alexey Aleshchev
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rigele Te 1577 · Alexey Aleshchev 1422
| Rigele Te | Alexey Aleshchev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rigele Te (rating 1577 vs 1422).
- Rigele Te dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 41% break avg.
- Rigele Te is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rigele Te | Alexey Aleshchev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.5 | 8.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 41% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rigele Te
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Millen Hurrion M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/11 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Zhao Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/11 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Adam Walton ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alexey Aleshchev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Millen Hurrion M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Pranav Karthik M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Baku |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Pavel Skvortcov M15 Baku |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Karol Filar M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Peter Zavacky M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Ryo Minakata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rigele Te vs Alexey Aleshchev?
Our model gives 82% to Rigele Te, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.