Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 10/11, 05:30
Prediction: Toshiki Karigyo vs Linang Xiao
Team pages: Toshiki Karigyo · Linang Xiao
Prediction summary
Winner
Toshiki Karigyo
Linang Xiao
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Toshiki Karigyo
4-6 (W-L)
Linang Xiao
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toshiki Karigyo 1488 · Linang Xiao 1453
| Toshiki Karigyo | Linang Xiao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Toshiki Karigyo | Linang Xiao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11 | 12.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toshiki Karigyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Yua Taka M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Oscar Brown M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 19/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Ye Chen M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Linang Xiao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Boris Butulija M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/10 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Weiyi Kong M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toshiki Karigyo vs Linang Xiao?
Our model gives 65% to Linang Xiao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.