Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 06/11, 09:00
Prediction: Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu
Team pages: Melios Efstathiou · Cezar Cretu
Prediction summary
Winner
Melios Efstathiou
Cezar Cretu
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Melios Efstathiou
4-6 (W-L)
Cezar Cretu
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melios Efstathiou 1519 · Cezar Cretu 1564
| Melios Efstathiou | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cezar Cretu (rating 1519 vs 1564).
Statistics
| Melios Efstathiou | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11 | 11.2-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melios Efstathiou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Pablo Perez Ramos M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 13/10 | Giulio Perego M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Finn Murgett M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Davis Cup |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Oleksii Krutykh Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Filippo Moroni M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Mariano Tammaro M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Cezar Cretu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Matias Reyniak M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Michel Hopp M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Garrett Johns M25 Malta |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Leo Borg M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Malta |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Ioannis Kountourakis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu?
Our model gives 68% to Cezar Cretu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

