Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 06/11, 09:00

Prediction: Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu

Team pages: Melios Efstathiou · Cezar Cretu

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Melios Efstathiou Cezar Cretu
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Melios Efstathiou 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLLW
Cezar Cretu 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Melios Efstathiou 1519 · Cezar Cretu 1564
Melios EfstathiouCezar Cretu
Our model44%56%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cezar Cretu (rating 1519 vs 1564).

Statistics

Melios EfstathiouCezar Cretu
Win %60%80%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 86% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.6-0.5
Games (G-P)11.8-1111.2-8.1
Aces1.22.1
Double faults3.21.7
1st serve %64%65.8%
Break %50.7%46.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melios Efstathiou

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 15-15 W
04/11 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 19-17 W
13/10 Giulio Perego
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/10 Finn Murgett
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/09 Georgii Kravchenko
Davis Cup
0-2 1-12 L
19/09 Oleksii Krutykh
Davis Cup
1-2 12-13 L
13/09 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 13-8 W
12/09 Filippo Moroni
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Pozzuoli
2-1 18-10 W
10/09 Mariano Tammaro
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-4 W

Cezar Cretu

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Matias Reyniak
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
03/11 Michel Hopp
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/10 Garrett Johns
M25 Malta
0-2 6-12 L
29/10 Leo Borg
M25 Malta
2-0 12-6 W
28/10 Yshai Oliel
M25 Malta
2-1 16-13 W
25/10 Amit Vales
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/10 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
23/10 Jakub Filip
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/10 Ioannis Kountourakis
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
20/10 Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu?

Our model gives 68% to Cezar Cretu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.