Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 07/11, 09:00
Prediction: Ioannis Xilas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Team pages: Ioannis Xilas · Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Prediction summary
Winner
Ioannis Xilas
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ioannis Xilas
9-1 (W-L)
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ioannis Xilas 1589 · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1504
| Ioannis Xilas | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ioannis Xilas (rating 1589 vs 1504).
- Ioannis Xilas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ioannis Xilas | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-7.1 | 9.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 54% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ioannis Xilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Andrej Nedic M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | Michael Wright M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Vuk Krstajic M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/10 | Thando Longwe-Smit M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Hugo Car M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Jip Van Assendelft M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Miles Jones M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Dimitris Azoidis M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/10 | James Mackinlay M25 Malta |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Timofey Skatov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Raphael Perot M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ioannis Xilas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Our model gives 55% to Ioannis Xilas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.