Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 08/11, 09:00
Prediction: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Cezar Cretu
Team pages: Gilles Arnaud Bailly · Cezar Cretu
Prediction summary
Winner
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Cezar Cretu
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
3-7 (W-L)
Cezar Cretu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1524 · Cezar Cretu 1582
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cezar Cretu (rating 1524 vs 1582).
- Cezar Cretu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.1 | 11.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/11 | Miles Jones M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Dimitris Azoidis M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/10 | James Mackinlay M25 Malta |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Timofey Skatov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Cezar Cretu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Robin Bertrand M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Matias Reyniak M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Michel Hopp M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Garrett Johns M25 Malta |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Leo Borg M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Malta |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Cezar Cretu?
Our model gives 56% to Cezar Cretu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.