Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 05/11, 09:00
Prediction: Matias Reyniak vs Cezar Cretu
Team pages: Matias Reyniak · Cezar Cretu
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Reyniak
Cezar Cretu
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Reyniak
6-4 (W-L)
Cezar Cretu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Reyniak 1509 · Cezar Cretu 1550
| Matias Reyniak | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cezar Cretu (rating 1509 vs 1550).
Statistics
| Matias Reyniak | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.6 | 10.3-9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 37% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Reyniak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Victor Ryden M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Carles Rojas M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alberto Garcia Garcia M15 Melilla |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Michel Hopp M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Garrett Johns M25 Malta |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Leo Borg M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Malta |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Ioannis Kountourakis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Reyniak vs Cezar Cretu?
Our model gives 73% to Cezar Cretu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.