Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 05/11, 09:00
Prediction: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Benjamin Pietri
Team pages: Gilles Arnaud Bailly · Benjamin Pietri
Prediction summary
Winner
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Benjamin Pietri
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
4-6 (W-L)
Benjamin Pietri
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1477 · Benjamin Pietri 1561
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Pietri (rating 1477 vs 1561).
- Benjamin Pietri is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.4 | 11.8-8.3 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 65% |
| Break % | 50% | 67.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Dimitris Azoidis M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/10 | James Mackinlay M25 Malta |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Timofey Skatov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Raphael Perot M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Fadi Bidan M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Mac Visser M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Benjamin Pietri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/11 | Miles Jones M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Alexander Chang M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/10 | Nikita Mashtakov M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Javier Munoz Fuster M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/10 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 22/10 | Michel Hopp M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Jordan Hasson M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Benjamin Pietri?
Our model gives 52% to Benjamin Pietri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.