Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 06/11, 06:00
Prediction: Daniil Sarksian vs Seong Chan Hong
Team pages: Daniil Sarksian · Seong Chan Hong
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniil Sarksian
Seong Chan Hong
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Sarksian
5-5 (W-L)
Seong Chan Hong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Sarksian 1548 · Seong Chan Hong 1531
| Daniil Sarksian | Seong Chan Hong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniil Sarksian | Seong Chan Hong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.6 | 11.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 70% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Sarksian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Sheng Tang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 23/10 | Luca Staeheli M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 22/10 | Ruochen Gao M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Lleyton Richards M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Matisse Bobichon M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Arthur Laborde M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Noel Larwig M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Karol Malirz M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Seong Chan Hong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Yuquan Jin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Yibing Wu Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Sumit Nagal Asian Games |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Sarksian vs Seong Chan Hong?
Our model gives 68% to Seong Chan Hong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.