Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 05/11, 10:30
Prediction: Aleksandre Bakshi vs Kerem Yilmaz
Team pages: Aleksandre Bakshi · Kerem Yilmaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandre Bakshi
Kerem Yilmaz
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandre Bakshi
3-7 (W-L)
Kerem Yilmaz
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandre Bakshi 1470 · Kerem Yilmaz 1540
| Aleksandre Bakshi | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kerem Yilmaz (rating 1470 vs 1540).
- Note: Aleksandre Bakshi makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandre Bakshi | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.9 | 12.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 39% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandre Bakshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Luke Hooper M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Baku |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 02/09 | Luke Hooper M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Aaron Funk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 28/08 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Omar Kandil M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Zangar Nurlanuly M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Kerem Yilmaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Oskari Eerola M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Millen Hurrion M15 Baku |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Baku |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Tamerlan Azizov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Baku |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Egor Agafonov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Marat Salbiev M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-11 | L |
| 11/08 | Vesa Ahti M15 Turku |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandre Bakshi vs Kerem Yilmaz?
Our model gives 60% to Kerem Yilmaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.