Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 12/11, 09:00
Prediction: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Saba Purtseladze
Team pages: Filiberto Fumagalli · Saba Purtseladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Filiberto Fumagalli
Saba Purtseladze
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Filiberto Fumagalli
5-5 (W-L)
Saba Purtseladze
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filiberto Fumagalli 1505 · Saba Purtseladze 1483
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 9 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-8.4 | 10.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filiberto Fumagalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Igor Piasek M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/11 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 06/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Saba Purtseladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Omar Kandil M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 04/11 | Yi Yuan M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/10 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Nicola Rispoli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Nika Bidzinashvili M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filiberto Fumagalli vs Saba Purtseladze?
Our model gives 61% to Saba Purtseladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.