Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 13/11, 09:00
Prediction: Pierre Yves Bailly vs Filiberto Fumagalli
Team pages: Pierre Yves Bailly · Filiberto Fumagalli
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierre Yves Bailly
Filiberto Fumagalli
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pierre Yves Bailly
6-4 (W-L)
Filiberto Fumagalli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierre Yves Bailly 1568 · Filiberto Fumagalli 1520
| Pierre Yves Bailly | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierre Yves Bailly (rating 1568 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Pierre Yves Bailly | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.4 | 9.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierre Yves Bailly
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Szymon Karpinski M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/11 | Louis Van Herck M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Louis Van Herck M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Yannik Kelm M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/02 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-6 | W |
| 04/02 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/01 | Moise Kouame M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 17/01 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 16/01 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Filiberto Fumagalli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Saba Purtseladze M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/11 | Igor Piasek M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/11 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierre Yves Bailly vs Filiberto Fumagalli?
Our model gives 70% to Pierre Yves Bailly, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.