Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 13/11, 09:00

Prediction: Marek Gengel vs Hazem Naw

Team pages: Marek Gengel · Hazem Naw

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Marek Gengel Hazem Naw
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Marek Gengel 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLW
Hazem Naw 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marek Gengel 1485 · Hazem Naw 1552
Marek GengelHazem Naw
Our model40%60%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hazem Naw (rating 1485 vs 1552).
  • Hazem Naw is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Marek GengelHazem Naw
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.4-0.7
Games (G-P)10.4-1210.3-8.6
Aces2.62.7
Double faults3.43.2
1st serve %71.4%65.8%
Break %36.8%34.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marek Gengel

WWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/11 Ole Bredschneijder
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
01/11 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger Bratislava · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
24/10 Arda Azkara
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/10 Tudor Batin
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/10 Tomas Lanik
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 14-16 W
21/10 Dominik Guzmicky
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
16/09 Tristan Schoolkate
Challenger Rennes · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
07/09 Christian Langmo
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
01/09 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
17/08 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Prague · Clay
1-2 12-16 L

Hazem Naw

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/11 Aleksandre Bakshi
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/11 Xavier Massotte
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/09 Oscar Brown
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/09 Matthew Carroll
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
09/09 Thando Longwe-Smit
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
03/09 Roan Jones
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-9 L
02/09 Jaden Weekes
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
28/08 Calvin Mueller
M15 Allershausen
0-2 3-12 L
27/08 Edison Ambarzumjan
M15 Allershausen
2-0 13-9 W
25/08 Bruno Fernandez
M15 Allershausen
2-1 15-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marek Gengel vs Hazem Naw?

Our model gives 54% to Marek Gengel, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.