Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 14/11, 09:00
Prediction: Artur Kukasian vs Filiberto Fumagalli
Team pages: Artur Kukasian · Filiberto Fumagalli
Prediction summary
Winner
Artur Kukasian
Filiberto Fumagalli
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Artur Kukasian
1-9 (W-L)
Filiberto Fumagalli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Artur Kukasian 1423 · Filiberto Fumagalli 1540
| Artur Kukasian | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filiberto Fumagalli (rating 1423 vs 1540).
- Filiberto Fumagalli is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Artur Kukasian makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Artur Kukasian | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.3 | 10.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Artur Kukasian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Vladimir Osminkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 05/08 | Veljko Krstic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Louis Larue M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/03 | Andre Ilagan M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam M25 Chennai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/01 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Vadym Ursu M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Filiberto Fumagalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Pierre Yves Bailly M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/11 | Saba Purtseladze M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/11 | Igor Piasek M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/11 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Artur Kukasian vs Filiberto Fumagalli?
Our model gives 62% to Filiberto Fumagalli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.