Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 05/11, 10:30
Prediction: Louis Van Herck vs Pierre Yves Bailly
Team pages: Louis Van Herck · Pierre Yves Bailly
Prediction summary
Winner
Louis Van Herck
Pierre Yves Bailly
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Louis Van Herck
6-4 (W-L)
Pierre Yves Bailly
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Louis Van Herck 1487 · Pierre Yves Bailly 1574
| Louis Van Herck | Pierre Yves Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierre Yves Bailly (rating 1487 vs 1574).
- Pierre Yves Bailly is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Louis Van Herck | Pierre Yves Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.8 | 9.2-7.9 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Louis Van Herck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Jan Wygona M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Amaury Raynel M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Alberto Morolli M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Fabian Marozsan Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Remy Dugardin M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alex Kobelt M25 Plaisir |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 07/09 | Yannis Batsabaken M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Pierre Yves Bailly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Yannik Kelm M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/02 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-6 | W |
| 04/02 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/01 | Moise Kouame M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 17/01 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 16/01 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/01 | Maxence Beauge M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/01 | Romain Faucon M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 09/01 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Hazebrouck |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Louis Van Herck vs Pierre Yves Bailly?
Our model gives 75% to Pierre Yves Bailly, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.