Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 05/11, 03:00
Prediction: Xirui Han vs Qian Sun
Team pages: Xirui Han · Qian Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Xirui Han
Qian Sun
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Xirui Han
4-6 (W-L)
Qian Sun
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xirui Han 1493 · Qian Sun 1470
| Xirui Han | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Qian Sun makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Xirui Han | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-12.3 | 10.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xirui Han
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Ye Hongyu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Filip Peliwo M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Anthony Susanto M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 07/10 | James Van Herzeele M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Qian Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Arkhip Kozlov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xirui Han vs Qian Sun?
Our model gives 62% to Qian Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.