Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Matias Reyniak vs Petros Tsitsipas
Team pages: Matias Reyniak · Petros Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Reyniak
Petros Tsitsipas
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Reyniak
6-4 (W-L)
Petros Tsitsipas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Reyniak 1519 · Petros Tsitsipas 1454
| Matias Reyniak | Petros Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matias Reyniak (rating 1519 vs 1454).
- Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Matias Reyniak | Petros Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.2 | 9.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 35% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Reyniak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Victor Ryden M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Carles Rojas M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alberto Garcia Garcia M15 Melilla |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lefteri Apostolou M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Petros Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Malta |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Jip Van Assendelft M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Mathys Domenc M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 01/10 | Sebastian Gima M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Louis Wessels M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Jiri Cizek M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Maxence Rivet M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Reyniak vs Petros Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 50% to Matias Reyniak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.