Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Oskari Eerola vs Kerem Yilmaz
Team pages: Oskari Eerola · Kerem Yilmaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Eerola
Kerem Yilmaz
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Eerola
4-6 (W-L)
Kerem Yilmaz
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Eerola 1480 · Kerem Yilmaz 1532
| Oskari Eerola | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kerem Yilmaz (rating 1480 vs 1532).
- Note: Oskari Eerola makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Oskari Eerola | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-9.8 | 12.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Eerola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Marat Salbiev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-7 | L |
| 27/10 | Martijn Molenkamp M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Jorge Plans M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sacha Bouillard M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Louis Herman M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Seydina Andre M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Patrick Kotan M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/03 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Kerem Yilmaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Millen Hurrion M15 Baku |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Baku |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Tamerlan Azizov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Baku |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Egor Agafonov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Marat Salbiev M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-11 | L |
| 11/08 | Vesa Ahti M15 Turku |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Eerola vs Kerem Yilmaz?
Our model gives 70% to Kerem Yilmaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.