Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 04/11, 10:30
Prediction: Jan Wygona vs Louis Van Herck
Team pages: Jan Wygona · Louis Van Herck
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Wygona
Louis Van Herck
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Wygona
5-5 (W-L)
Louis Van Herck
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Wygona 1500 · Louis Van Herck 1477
| Jan Wygona | Louis Van Herck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jan Wygona | Louis Van Herck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.8 | 10.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 45% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Wygona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Nicola Senn M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Henry De Keulenaer M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Arthur Laborde M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Egor Shcherbakov M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jan Chlodnicki M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Piotr Galus M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Louis Van Herck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Amaury Raynel M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Alberto Morolli M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Fabian Marozsan Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Remy Dugardin M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alex Kobelt M25 Plaisir |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 07/09 | Yannis Batsabaken M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Tsiry Rabetrano M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Wygona vs Louis Van Herck?
Our model gives 55% to Louis Van Herck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.