Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 04/11, 03:00

Prediction: Jordan Chiu vs Kristjan Tamm

Team pages: Kristjan Tamm

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Jordan Chiu Kristjan Tamm
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jordan Chiu 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLW
Kristjan Tamm 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jordan Chiu 1527 · Kristjan Tamm 1489
Jordan ChiuKristjan Tamm
Our model55%45%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jordan ChiuKristjan Tamm
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.3-1.1
Games (G-P)8.5-8.712.4-11.6
Aces2.17.6
Double faults1.81.2
1st serve %66%75.9%
Break %25.6%34%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jordan Chiu

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/10 Filip Peliwo
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/10 Xiao-Feng Zhou
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/10 Cruz Hewitt
M25 Qian Daohu
0-2 3-12 L
12/10 Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 13-8 W
08/10 Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
07/10 Xin Zhou
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
06/10 Hao-Yu Lin
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/09 Kai-I Wang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
29/09 Shaoyun Liu
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 12-11 W

Kristjan Tamm

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
27/10 Jaden Dewandaka Tan
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
21/10 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
16/10 Martin Borisiouk
M25 Qian Daohu
1-2 13-15 L
15/10 Anton Shepp
M25 Qian Daohu
2-1 15-12 W
14/10 Xing Dao Chen
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-5 W
12/10 Yue Xia
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-7 W
05/10 Martin Borisiouk
Challenger Wuning · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
04/10 Naoya Honda
Challenger Wuning · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
07/09 Dong Ju Kim
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
1-2 15-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jordan Chiu vs Kristjan Tamm?

Our model gives 60% to Kristjan Tamm, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.