Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Xin Zhou vs Boris Butulija
Team pages: Xin Zhou · Boris Butulija
Prediction summary
Winner
Xin Zhou
Boris Butulija
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Xin Zhou
6-4 (W-L)
Boris Butulija
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xin Zhou 1479 · Boris Butulija 1522
| Xin Zhou | Boris Butulija | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boris Butulija (rating 1479 vs 1522).
- Note: Xin Zhou makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Boris Butulija makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Xin Zhou | Boris Butulija | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.6 | 9.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 64% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 29% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xin Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Toshiki Karigyo M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Jordan Chiu M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Zhenxiong Dong M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Alex Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Shaoyun Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Yuquan Jin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Boris Butulija
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Luca Staeheli M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 23/10 | Linang Xiao M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/10 | Yue Xia M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-0 | 8-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 02/09 | Lawrence Bataljin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xin Zhou vs Boris Butulija?
Our model gives 57% to Boris Butulija, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.