Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 04/11, 03:00

Prediction: Ye Hongyu vs Xirui Han

Team pages: Ye Hongyu · Xirui Han

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Ye Hongyu Xirui Han
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ye Hongyu 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLL
Xirui Han 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ye Hongyu 1466 · Xirui Han 1477
Ye HongyuXirui Han
Our model48%52%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ye HongyuXirui Han
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41-1.4
Games (G-P)8.5-11.99.9-12.5
Aces2.85.1
Double faults33
1st serve %60.9%68.1%
Break %33.9%47.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ye Hongyu

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Mikal Statham
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 12-12 W
15/10 Egor Pleshivtsev
M25 Qian Daohu
0-2 5-12 L
14/10 Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 13-8 W
12/10 Corban Crowther
M25 Qian Daohu
2-1 11-11 W
13/09 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
14/07 Chun-Chien Hou
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/06 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
02/06 Matvey Greschner
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
22/05 Artem Alekseychuk
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/05 Uisung Park
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Xirui Han

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Filip Peliwo
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
21/10 Xing Dao Chen
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-1 10-10 W
14/10 Yaojie Zeng
M25 Qian Daohu
1-2 16-18 L
12/10 Anthony Susanto
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 13-9 W
08/10 Yaojie Zeng
M25 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
07/10 James Van Herzeele
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
30/09 Yuta Tomida
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
23/09 Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Yinchuan
0-2 4-12 L
17/09 Yunseong Chung
M25 Guiyang
0-2 6-12 L
15/09 Xiaoyin Yang
M25 Guiyang
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ye Hongyu vs Xirui Han?

Our model gives 59% to Xirui Han, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.