Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 03/11, 04:30
Prediction: Alexey Aleshchev vs Zhenxiong Dong
Team pages: Alexey Aleshchev · Zhenxiong Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexey Aleshchev
Zhenxiong Dong
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexey Aleshchev
2-8 (W-L)
Zhenxiong Dong
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexey Aleshchev
1–0
Zhenxiong Dong
(1 last)
- 02 Jun2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexey Aleshchev 1420 · Zhenxiong Dong 1379
| Alexey Aleshchev | Zhenxiong Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexey Aleshchev (rating 1420 vs 1379).
- Head-to-head: Alexey Aleshchev 1–0 Zhenxiong Dong (1).
Statistics
| Alexey Aleshchev | Zhenxiong Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 0% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 0.7-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-12 | 9.5-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 31.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Alexey Aleshchev 1 – 0 Zhenxiong Dong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexey Aleshchev 1–0 Zhenxiong Dong
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/26 M15 Luan | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexey Aleshchev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Pranav Karthik M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Baku |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Pavel Skvortcov M15 Baku |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Karol Filar M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Peter Zavacky M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Ryo Minakata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Zhenxiong Dong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Hao-Yu Lin M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/10 | Haolong He M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 12/10 | Maksim Shin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Xin Zhou M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Matthew Shearer M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Zhao Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 09/06 | Jaesung Choe M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexey Aleshchev vs Zhenxiong Dong?
Our model gives 52% to Zhenxiong Dong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.