Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 03/11, 04:30
Prediction: Toshiki Karigyo vs Xin Zhou
Team pages: Toshiki Karigyo · Xin Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Toshiki Karigyo
Xin Zhou
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Toshiki Karigyo
4-6 (W-L)
Xin Zhou
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toshiki Karigyo 1517 · Xin Zhou 1465
| Toshiki Karigyo | Xin Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toshiki Karigyo (rating 1517 vs 1465).
- Note: Toshiki Karigyo makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Xin Zhou makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Toshiki Karigyo | Xin Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11 | 10.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toshiki Karigyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Yua Taka M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Oscar Brown M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 19/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Ye Chen M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Xin Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Jordan Chiu M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Zhenxiong Dong M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Alex Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Shaoyun Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Yuquan Jin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 09/06 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toshiki Karigyo vs Xin Zhou?
Our model gives 57% to Toshiki Karigyo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.