Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Jorge Plans vs Niklas Waldner
Team pages: Jorge Plans · Niklas Waldner
Prediction summary
Winner
Jorge Plans
Niklas Waldner
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jorge Plans
5-5 (W-L)
Niklas Waldner
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jorge Plans 1476 · Niklas Waldner 1533
| Jorge Plans | Niklas Waldner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niklas Waldner (rating 1476 vs 1533).
Statistics
| Jorge Plans | Niklas Waldner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.5 | 10-9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jorge Plans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Oskari Eerola M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Louis Larue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Walid Ahouda M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Niklas Waldner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Hugo Car M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Daniil Stepanov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Finn Reilly M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lorenzo Lorusso M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Gawad El Feky M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Denis Rasshchupkin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jorge Plans vs Niklas Waldner?
Our model gives 52% to Jorge Plans, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.