Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Melios Efstathiou · Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Melios Efstathiou
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Melios Efstathiou
4-6 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melios Efstathiou 1490 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1480
| Melios Efstathiou | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Melios Efstathiou | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.6 | 10.9-13.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 64% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 62.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melios Efstathiou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Giulio Perego M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Finn Murgett M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Davis Cup |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Oleksii Krutykh Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Filippo Moroni M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Mariano Tammaro M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jan Sadzik M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Nicholas Campbell M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 21/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 13/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 63% to Melios Efstathiou, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.