Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Kai Wehnelt vs Benjamin Pietri
Team pages: Kai Wehnelt · Benjamin Pietri
Prediction summary
Winner
Kai Wehnelt
Benjamin Pietri
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kai Wehnelt
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Pietri
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kai Wehnelt 1505 · Benjamin Pietri 1571
| Kai Wehnelt | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Pietri (rating 1505 vs 1571).
- Kai Wehnelt dominates on serve: 6 aces and 47.1% break avg.
- Note: Kai Wehnelt makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Kai Wehnelt | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.6 | 11.4-7.4 |
| Aces | 6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 70% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kai Wehnelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Benjamin Pietri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Miles Jones M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Alexander Chang M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/10 | Nikita Mashtakov M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Javier Munoz Fuster M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/10 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 22/10 | Michel Hopp M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Jordan Hasson M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/10 | Barney Fitzpatrick M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kai Wehnelt vs Benjamin Pietri?
Our model gives 54% to Benjamin Pietri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.