Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Dimitris Azoidis
Team pages: Gilles Arnaud Bailly · Dimitris Azoidis
Prediction summary
Winner
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Dimitris Azoidis
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
5-5 (W-L)
Dimitris Azoidis
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1469 · Dimitris Azoidis 1523
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Dimitris Azoidis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitris Azoidis (rating 1469 vs 1523).
Statistics
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Dimitris Azoidis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-9.7 | 11.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | James Mackinlay M25 Malta |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Timofey Skatov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Raphael Perot M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Fadi Bidan M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Mac Visser M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Zaccharie Cado M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Dimitris Azoidis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 12/08 | Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli M15 Turku |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Eliot Nobel M15 Turku |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Conor Gannon M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Dylan Leeman M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Alessandro Coccioli M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Rafael Giotis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Dimitris Azoidis?
Our model gives 60% to Gilles Arnaud Bailly, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.