Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 03/11, 07:30
Prediction: Yuquan Jin vs Seong Chan Hong
Team pages: Yuquan Jin · Seong Chan Hong
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuquan Jin
Seong Chan Hong
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yuquan Jin
4-6 (W-L)
Seong Chan Hong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuquan Jin 1448 · Seong Chan Hong 1493
| Yuquan Jin | Seong Chan Hong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seong Chan Hong (rating 1448 vs 1493).
- Note: Yuquan Jin makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Yuquan Jin | Seong Chan Hong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.4 | 10.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuquan Jin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Zihao Liu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Stefan Vujic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Xirui Han M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-9 | L |
Seong Chan Hong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Yibing Wu Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Sumit Nagal Asian Games |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuquan Jin vs Seong Chan Hong?
Our model gives 76% to Seong Chan Hong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.