Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Tianhui Zhang
Team pages: Lorenzo Lorusso · Tianhui Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Lorusso
Tianhui Zhang
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Lorusso
6-4 (W-L)
Tianhui Zhang
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Lorusso 1482 · Tianhui Zhang 1492
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Tianhui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lorenzo Lorusso dominates on serve: 9.6 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Note: Lorenzo Lorusso makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Tianhui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.4 | 10.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 73% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Lorusso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 23/10 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Azuma Visaya M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/10 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Niklas Waldner M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tianhui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Miles Jones M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Kaichi Uchida M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Stefan Storch M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Lorusso vs Tianhui Zhang?
Our model gives 63% to Tianhui Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.