Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 29/10, 18:30
Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Gonzalo Bueno · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Bueno
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno
4-6 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1514 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1529
| Gonzalo Bueno | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gonzalo Bueno | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.3 | 10.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Alan Magadan Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Corwin M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 58% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.