Tennis · ATP Vienna · 30/10, 17:30
Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fery
Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Arthur Fery
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Zverev
Arthur Fery
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev
10-0 (W-L)
Arthur Fery
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Zverev
1–0
Arthur Fery
(1 last)
- 10 Jul3-0 19-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1606 · Arthur Fery 1487
| Alexander Zverev | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1606 vs 1487).
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 12.7 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Alexander Zverev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Zverev 1–0 Arthur Fery (1).
Statistics
| Alexander Zverev | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-12.2 | 12.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 12.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 78.8% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +4
Over 20.5: 76% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 24% · 1.83
H2H · Alexander Zverev 1 – 0 Arthur Fery (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Zverev 1–0 Arthur Fery
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 Wimbledon | 3-0 | 19-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Martin Landaluce ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 17/10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 11/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Yibing Wu ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/10 | Juncheng Shang ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Arthur Fery
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 07/10 | Marin Cilic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Jaime Faria ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/09 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fery?
Our model gives 77% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.