Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 29/10, 17:00
Prediction: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Lautaro Midon
Team pages: Daniel Elahi Galan · Lautaro Midon
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Elahi Galan
Lautaro Midon
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Elahi Galan
5-5 (W-L)
Lautaro Midon
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Elahi Galan
0–1
Lautaro Midon
(1 last)
- 08 Feb1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Elahi Galan 1488 · Lautaro Midon 1573
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lautaro Midon (rating 1488 vs 1573).
- Head-to-head: Daniel Elahi Galan 0–1 Lautaro Midon (1).
Statistics
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.7 | 10.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Daniel Elahi Galan 0 – 1 Lautaro Midon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Elahi Galan 0–1 Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 ATP Buenos Aires | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Elahi Galan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 17/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Elahi Galan vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model gives 63% to Lautaro Midon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.