Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 29/10, 17:00
Prediction: Tomas Barrios Vera vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Team pages: Tomas Barrios Vera · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Barrios Vera
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Barrios Vera
8-2 (W-L)
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tomas Barrios Vera
1–0
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
(1 last)
- 13 Nov2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Barrios Vera 1527 · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1599
| Tomas Barrios Vera | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1527 vs 1599).
- Head-to-head: Tomas Barrios Vera 1–0 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (1).
Statistics
| Tomas Barrios Vera | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.7 | 13.6-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 33% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Tomas Barrios Vera 1 – 0 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tomas Barrios Vera 1–0 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/23 Challenger Montevideo | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Daniel Rincon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Barrios Vera vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo?
Our model gives 53% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.