Tennis · ATP Vienna · 29/10, 13:30
Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor
Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Tallon Griekspoor
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Zverev
Tallon Griekspoor
Estimated games
25.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev
10-0 (W-L)
Tallon Griekspoor
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Zverev
7–3
Tallon Griekspoor
(10 last)
- 05 Aug1-2 13-18L
- 04 Jan2-0 13-5W
- 18 Apr2-1 19-17W
- 07 Mar1-2 18-18L
- 30 Oct2-0 13-9W
- 08 Oct2-1 16-18W
- 01 Jun3-2 26-24W
- 11 Mar2-0 13-9W
Showing the 8 with a final score we have.
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1625 · Tallon Griekspoor 1561
| Alexander Zverev | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1625 vs 1561).
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 12.2 aces and 41.3% break avg.
- Tallon Griekspoor dominates on serve: 14.5 aces and 56.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Zverev 7–3 Tallon Griekspoor (10).
Statistics
| Alexander Zverev | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-12.2 | 14.7-13.3 |
| Aces | 12.2 | 14.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 78.4% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.1
Over 22.5: 70% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 30% · 1.80
H2H · Alexander Zverev 7 – 3 Tallon Griekspoor (10)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Zverev 7–3 Tallon Griekspoor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 ATP Montreal | 1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/01/26 United Cup | 2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 18/04/25 ATP Munich | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 07/03/25 ATP Indian Wells | 1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 30/10/24 ATP Paris | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10/24 ATP Shanghai | 2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 01/06/24 French Open | 3-2 | 26-24 | W |
| 11/03/24 ATP Indian Wells | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Zverev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Martin Landaluce ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 17/10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 11/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Yibing Wu ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/10 | Juncheng Shang ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/09 | Learner Tien Laver Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Tallon Griekspoor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Mariano Navone ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Max Schoenhaus ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 08/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nicolas Mejia Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Our model gives 70% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.