Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 29/10, 16:00
Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian
Team pages: Diego Dedura-Palomero · Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Valerio Aboian
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Diego Dedura-Palomero
5-5 (W-L)
Valerio Aboian
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1539 · Valerio Aboian 1535
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.6 | 11-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 64% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Frazier Rengifo Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Adria Soriano Barrera Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Matias Soto Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Facundo Mena Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 05/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model gives 63% to Diego Dedura-Palomero, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.