Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 28/10, 16:00
Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Miguel Tobon
Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Miguel Tobon
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Miguel Tobon
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
8-2 (W-L)
Miguel Tobon
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1581 · Miguel Tobon 1546
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Miguel Tobon makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-9.2 | 12.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Miguel Tobon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Miguel Tobon?
Our model gives 57% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.