Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 28/10, 16:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Claverie vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Team pages: Lorenzo Claverie · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Claverie
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Claverie
5-5 (W-L)
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Claverie 1495 · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1592
| Lorenzo Claverie | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Lucas Reis da Silva (rating 1495 vs 1592).
- Joao Lucas Reis da Silva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lorenzo Claverie makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Claverie | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13.1 | 12-9.1 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Claverie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/07 | Tristan Boyer ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 10/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Claverie vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva?
Our model gives 70% to Joao Lucas Reis da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.