Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 28/10, 16:00
Prediction: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez
Team pages: Alvaro Guillen Meza · Alex Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Alex Hernandez
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alvaro Guillen Meza
2-8 (W-L)
Alex Hernandez
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1381 · Alex Hernandez 1529
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Hernandez (rating 1381 vs 1529).
- Alex Hernandez is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Hernandez makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-14.7 | 12.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Arthur Fery Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Matteo Covato Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Gray Voelzke M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/10 | Miles Clark M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez?
Our model gives 57% to Alex Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.