Tennis · ATP Vienna · 28/10, 16:30
Prediction: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino
Team pages: Jakub Mensik · Adrian Mannarino
Prediction summary
Winner
Jakub Mensik
Adrian Mannarino
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Mensik
4-6 (W-L)
Adrian Mannarino
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jakub Mensik
0–1
Adrian Mannarino
(1 last)
- 16 Jun1-2 19-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Mensik 1522 · Adrian Mannarino 1554
| Jakub Mensik | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jakub Mensik 0–1 Adrian Mannarino (1).
Statistics
| Jakub Mensik | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.6 | 12.1-12.4 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.4
Over 21.5: 73% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 27% · 1.83
H2H · Jakub Mensik 0 – 1 Adrian Mannarino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jakub Mensik 0–1 Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 ATP Queens | 1-2 | 19-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Mensik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Brandon Nakashima Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 19/09 | Ben Shelton Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Learner Tien Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino?
Our model gives 65% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.