Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 26/10, 16:00
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Lorenzo Claverie
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Lorenzo Claverie
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Lorenzo Claverie
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
7-3 (W-L)
Lorenzo Claverie
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1546 · Lorenzo Claverie 1472
| Ryan Nijboer | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1546 vs 1472).
- Ryan Nijboer is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.4 | 11.2-13.7 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 12 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 28.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/10 | Pierre Delage M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Cedric Stanke M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lorenzo Claverie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/07 | Tristan Boyer ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Lorenzo Claverie?
Our model gives 68% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.