Tennis · ATP Vienna · 27/10, 11:00
Prediction: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse
Team pages: Adrian Mannarino · Ignacio Buse
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Mannarino
Ignacio Buse
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Mannarino
7-3 (W-L)
Ignacio Buse
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adrian Mannarino
0–1
Ignacio Buse
(1 last)
- 22 Apr0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Mannarino 1562 · Ignacio Buse 1503
| Adrian Mannarino | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Mannarino (rating 1562 vs 1503).
- Head-to-head: Adrian Mannarino 0–1 Ignacio Buse (1).
Statistics
| Adrian Mannarino | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.7 | 14-13.9 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 53% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 47% · 1.83
H2H · Adrian Mannarino 0 – 1 Ignacio Buse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adrian Mannarino 0–1 Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 ATP Madrid | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 27/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Marcos Giron US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-20 | W |
| 29/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse?
Our model gives 56% to Adrian Mannarino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.