Tennis · ATP Vienna · 26/10, 17:30
Prediction: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer
Team pages: Jakub Mensik · Lukas Neumayer
Prediction summary
Winner
Jakub Mensik
Lukas Neumayer
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Mensik
4-6 (W-L)
Lukas Neumayer
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Mensik 1526 · Lukas Neumayer 1558
| Jakub Mensik | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jakub Mensik | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-13.6 | 12.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.3% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 36% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.4
Over 21.5: 66% · 2.00
Under 21.5: 34% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Mensik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Brandon Nakashima Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 19/09 | Ben Shelton Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Learner Tien Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 03/09 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-14 | W |
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Titouan Droguet ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/10 | Vit Kopriva ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Florian Broska Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer?
Our model gives 67% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.