Tennis · ATP Vienna · 27/10, 11:00
Prediction: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima
Team pages: Tallon Griekspoor · Brandon Nakashima
Prediction summary
Winner
Tallon Griekspoor
Brandon Nakashima
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tallon Griekspoor
4-6 (W-L)
Brandon Nakashima
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tallon Griekspoor
1–1
Brandon Nakashima
(2 last)
- 22 Oct2-0 14-12W
- 25 May0-3 12-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tallon Griekspoor 1526 · Brandon Nakashima 1517
| Tallon Griekspoor | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tallon Griekspoor dominates on serve: 12 aces and 51.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Tallon Griekspoor | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-13.9 | 13.6-12.8 |
| Aces | 12 | 10.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 33.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.8
Over 23.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 38% · 1.83
H2H · Tallon Griekspoor 1 – 1 Brandon Nakashima (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tallon Griekspoor 1–1 Brandon Nakashima
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/25 ATP Vienna | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/05/22 French Open | 0-3 | 12-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tallon Griekspoor
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Mariano Navone ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Max Schoenhaus ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 08/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nicolas Mejia Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-20 | L |
| 09/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Brandon Nakashima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Ugo Humbert ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Jakub Mensik Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Sebastian Baez US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima?
Our model gives 58% to Brandon Nakashima, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.