Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 25/10, 21:00
Prediction: Alan Magadan vs Mario Andre Galarraga
Team pages: Alan Magadan · Mario Andre Galarraga
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Magadan
Mario Andre Galarraga
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Magadan
3-7 (W-L)
Mario Andre Galarraga
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Magadan 1511 · Mario Andre Galarraga 1427
| Alan Magadan | Mario Andre Galarraga | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Magadan (rating 1511 vs 1427).
- Alan Magadan is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mario Andre Galarraga makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Alan Magadan | Mario Andre Galarraga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.8 | 7.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Nicolas Bruna Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Alex Hernandez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Garrett Johns ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Mario Andre Galarraga
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Alex Hernandez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Rodrigo Garza M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Andres Urrea M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Juan Sebastian Gomez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 20/01 | Enzo Rimoli M25 Santiago |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Magadan vs Mario Andre Galarraga?
Our model gives 77% to Alan Magadan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.