Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 27/10, 16:00
Prediction: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Team pages: Juan Pablo Varillas · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Pablo Varillas
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Varillas
3-7 (W-L)
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Varillas 1536 · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1514
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.3 | 12.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Pablo Varillas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/09 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 11/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 14/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Varillas vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Our model gives 52% to Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.