Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 27/10, 16:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Gonzalo Bueno · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Bueno
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno
3-7 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Bueno
2–1
Alex Barrena
(3 last)
- 23 Jan0-2 7-12L
- 07 Nov2-1 14-15W
- 09 Jan2-1 17-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1495 · Alex Barrena 1577
| Gonzalo Bueno | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Barrena (rating 1495 vs 1577).
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Bueno 2–1 Alex Barrena (3).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Bueno | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.4 | 11.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 66% |
| Break % | 27.3% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Gonzalo Bueno 2 – 1 Alex Barrena (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Bueno 2–1 Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 Challenger Itajai | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/11/25 Challenger Lima 2 | 2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 09/01/24 Challenger Buenos Aires | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Valentin Garay Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 59% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.