Tennis · ATP Vienna · 25/10, 14:30
Prediction: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan
Team pages: Adrian Mannarino · Alex Molcan
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Mannarino
Alex Molcan
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Mannarino
7-3 (W-L)
Alex Molcan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Mannarino 1545 · Alex Molcan 1545
| Adrian Mannarino | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adrian Mannarino | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.8 | 12.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Mannarino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 27/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Alex Molcan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Vit Kopriva ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan?
Our model gives 54% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.