Tennis · ATP Vienna · 27/10, 11:00
Prediction: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo
Team pages: Cameron Norrie · Francisco Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Cameron Norrie
Francisco Cerundolo
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Cameron Norrie
4-6 (W-L)
Francisco Cerundolo
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cameron Norrie
1–2
Francisco Cerundolo
(3 last)
- 26 May0-2 3-12L
- 10 Apr0-2 7-12L
- 17 May2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cameron Norrie 1461 · Francisco Cerundolo 1541
| Cameron Norrie | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francisco Cerundolo (rating 1461 vs 1541).
- Head-to-head: Cameron Norrie 1–2 Francisco Cerundolo (3).
Statistics
| Cameron Norrie | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.6 | 13.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.83
H2H · Cameron Norrie 1 – 2 Francisco Cerundolo (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cameron Norrie 1–2 Francisco Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/23 ATP Lyon | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/04/23 ATP Monte Carlo | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/05/22 ATP Lyon | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cameron Norrie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Luca Van Assche US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Dino Prizmic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Francisco Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Martin Damm ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Casper Ruud Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 19-22 | L |
| 20/09 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo?
Our model gives 61% to Francisco Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.