Tennis · ATP Vienna · 27/10, 11:00
Prediction: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
Team pages: Luca Van Assche · Learner Tien
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Van Assche
Learner Tien
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Van Assche
3-7 (W-L)
Learner Tien
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Van Assche 1497 · Learner Tien 1499
| Luca Van Assche | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Van Assche | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.6 | 15.1-15 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 28.8% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.8
Over 21.5: 75% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 25% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Van Assche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 22/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/08 | Cameron Norrie US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Learner Tien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Zachary Svajda ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Zverev Laver Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Flavio Cobolli Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Jakub Mensik Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-29 | L |
| 06/09 | Jakub Mensik US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 04/09 | Gael Monfils US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien?
Our model gives 61% to Learner Tien, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.